Wait until next year. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. . Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. most overrated running backs of all time. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. McKissic take the bulk of receiving work in Washington -- even though Gibson himself is a converted wide receiver. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. Jim Brown 2. He doesnt have that much of a skill set difference with Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed either. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Tony Dorsett 12. Think about that for a moment. 54 touchdowns. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. . In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. The Silence of the Lambs (1991) - Director: Jonathan Demme. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. There isnt much to like here. Jeff Bell: Gibson finished fourth in rushing attempts. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. There's too much risk to draft him as an ever-week starter. His career YPC was 3.9. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. . Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Earl Campbell 9. Without the volume, it is going to be difficult to get decent fantasy numbers. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Walter Payton 5. J.D. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). Emmitt Smith 4. Victoria Geary: Sanders has talent and breakaway ability, but he may not garner a large enough workload to be worth his ADP this season. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. 21 RB Sleepers. This is a major factor to any expectation that Robinson is fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the very early weeks in the season. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. 5. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. His current draft price is almost his upside. Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Never a good idea. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. O.J. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. Jan 26 . His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. While he can certainly put up some strong fantasy weeks, the savvier move would be to wait for the younger backs later in the draft. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. The current regime did not select Robinson. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. Ryan Hester: If Aaron Rodgers leaves Green Bay, no Green Bay players will see their output exceed their price tag. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. The Commanders drafted Brian Robinson Jr on Day 2 of the draft, a bigger back who excelled in pass protection. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. No one can take away his heroics stepping in for Christian McCaffrey, and he was rewarded in the offseason when Atlanta presumably signed him to be new coach Arthur Smith's feature back. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. A new offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh also adds uncertainty to the situation. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. Thurman Thomas 14. Without the volume, he is hard to use. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. Has no highlight reel. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. His current draft price is almost his upside. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. 5 / 30. 1 cornerstone. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10.